The world faces a stark reality: achieving net-zero emissions requires a monumental financial undertaking. A recent World Economic Forum report highlights a critical “transition finance gap”—not just in capital but also in policy and frameworks—hindering global climate goals. This gap disproportionately affects developing nations, like those in Africa, which are already bearing the brunt of climate change’s devastating impacts.
The cost of inaction is staggering. A 2024 study estimates global damages from climate change across various sectors could reach $38 trillion annually by 2050, with income reductions as high as 30% in Africa. This underscores the urgent need for scaled-up climate finance, particularly for the continent, which receives a mere 2% of global climate funding despite its vulnerability.
While climate finance flows to Africa have increased in recent years, they remain woefully inadequate. East Africa has attracted the most funding, followed by West and North Africa, with Southern and Central Africa lagging. The AU-UNDP report emphasizes the need for stronger climate planning, locally-led initiatives, private sector mobilisation, enhanced partnerships, and diversified climate finance instruments to bridge this gap.
The African Development Bank (AfDB) estimates Africa’s climate finance needs to reach $2.7 trillion by 2030, or $400 billion annually. However, actual flows are far short of this target. The AfDB is actively pursuing innovative solutions, including green banks, climate action windows, and adaptation benefit mechanisms, to mobilize the necessary resources.
The World Bank, claiming to be the largest climate financier for developing countries, has also ramped up its efforts, with 44% of its lending dedicated to climate action. Similarly, the Africa Finance Corporation (AFC) is addressing the challenge through its Infrastructure Climate Resilient Fund, focusing on building climate-resilient infrastructure across the continent.
Despite these efforts, the scale of the challenge remains immense. Data from Briter Intelligence reveals significant investment activity in Africa, but the focus has primarily been on sectors like fintech and digital services, with less emphasis on direct climate mitigation and adaptation projects. While the investments contribute to broader sustainable development goals, a more targeted approach is needed to address the climate crisis directly.
The recent COP29 discussions highlighted the ongoing debate surrounding climate finance targets. While a proposed $300 billion goal has been met with some criticism, it represents a concrete starting point for further negotiations. The oversubscription of climate bonds signals a strong investor appetite for such instruments, providing hope for increased capital flows.
A recent study by Africa PPP Advisory Services (AP3), in partnership with WRI and SLOCAT, has focused on mobilizing climate finance for sustainable transport projects in low- and middle-income countries. This sector, a significant contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, remains underfunded. The study offers valuable insights and actionable recommendations for project sponsors seeking to access climate finance for low-carbon transport solutions.
Dr Gori Olusina Daniel of AP3 emphasizes the importance of bridging the climate finance gap for sustainable transport, highlighting the need for innovative financing mechanisms and policy frameworks. The study’s key deliverables, including a state of knowledge report, policy guide, academic publication, and digital toolkit, provide valuable resources for stakeholders navigating this complex landscape.
Africa stands at a critical juncture. The continent’s vulnerability to climate change, coupled with its vast potential for renewable energy and sustainable development, makes it a key player in the global fight against climate change. Bridging the climate finance gap, through a combination of public and private investment, innovative financial instruments, and robust policy frameworks, is essential to unlocking Africa’s potential and securing a sustainable future for all.